3 years, 3 million cows

Just about every publication and website that has to do with your business, Including BEEF, has thoroughly reported on the fact that cattle producers are aggressively engaged in rebuilding the nation’s cowherd. The question is, how fast will that happen?

A Handbook for Ranch Managers And what about the front end time lag? Let “we” = the industry.

Suppose Old Bossie has a heifer calf today and we decide to keep that calf to increase our herd. Obviously, our keeping the heifer for breeding means less beef produced and upward pressure on price in the short term. But how long will it take for that to be reflected in the price of beef?

Planned Grazing: A Study Guide and Reference Manual   Well, how long will it take for Bossie’s calf to mature, breed and have a calf of her own? Then how long will it take to grow that calf to slaughter weight and therefore actually increase the supply of beef. So, as the authors predict, we are looking at from 3 to 5 years and the bust begins.

Environmental & Natural Resource Economics: The Austrian ViewTheoretically, that is what is commonly known as the “cattle cycle” which has, historically, completed itself in a rough but fairly regular six years. But, it hasn’t been working that way lately.

So, I take no responsibility for anything I say or do when it comes to predicting cattle prices. It is a crazy world in more ways than one. — jtl

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via Beef

Combat Shooter's Handbook Reconnaissance Marine MCI 03.32f: Marine Corps Institute The Betrayed: On Warriors, Cowboys and Other MisfitsJust about every publication and website that has to do with your business, Including BEEF, has thoroughly reported on the fact that cattle producers are aggressively engaged in rebuilding the nation’s cowherd. The question is, how fast will that happen?

The Essence of Liberty: Volume I: Liberty and History: The Rise and Fall of the Noble Experiment with Constitutionally Limited Government (Liberty and ... Limited Government) (Volume 1)  The Essence of Liberty: Volume II: The Economics of Liberty (Volume 2) The Essence of Liberty: Volume III: A Universal Philosophy of Political Economy (Liberty: A Universal Political Ethic) (Volume 3)While Mother Nature is the ultimate arbitrator in this deal, Rabobank analysts have an idea. Their outlook is for the beef cow population in the U.S. to grow by more than 3 million head in the next three to five years. The economic signals for building/ rebuilding the herd are clear, and in the next four to six years, the location of the U.S. cow herd is going to look considerably different than it did before the 2011 drought, according to a new report from the Rabobank Food & Agribusiness (FAR) Research and Advisory group.

A co-author of the report is Don Close. He says that there are several factors that jump out at him—there will be less rebuilding of the beef cow herd on the West Coast and in the Southeast, while the Southern Plains will become even more important in the number of mama cows, especially if drought will stay away to allow the process to move forward, reports the Oklahoma Farm Report.

He also thinks that we will see mama cows being added in the upper Midwest and the Corn Belt states as confinement or semi-confinement production systems gain popularity.

Click here to read and listen to Close’s thoughts on the direction and velocity of cowherd expansion.

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Planned Grazing: A Study Guide and Reference ManualPlanned Grazing: A Study Guide and Reference Manual. This is the ideal squeal to A Handbook for Ranch Managers.  Although the ecological principles remain the same, what was originally known as “The Savory Grazing Method” now answers to a multitude of different names: ranching for profit, holistic management, managed grazing, mob grazing, management intensive grazing, etc. Land & Livestock International, Inc. uses “Restoration Grazing” under its “Managing the Ranch as a Business” program.” No mater what you call it, this summary and synopsis will guide you step by step through the process and teach you how to use it as it was originally intended. No more excuses for failing to complete your grazing plans.

 

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About Land & Livestock Interntional, Inc.

Land and Livestock International, Inc. is a leading agribusiness management firm providing a complete line of services to the range livestock industry. We believe that private property is the foundation of America. Private property and free markets go hand in hand—without property there is no freedom. We also believe that free markets, not government intervention, hold the key to natural resource conservation and environmental preservation. No government bureaucrat can (or will) understand and treat the land with as much respect as its owner. The bureaucrat simply does not have the same motives as does the owner of a capital interest in the property. Our specialty is the working livestock ranch simply because there are so many very good reasons for owning such a property. We provide educational, management and consulting services with a focus on ecologically and financially sustainable land management that will enhance natural processes (water and mineral cycles, energy flow and community dynamics) while enhancing profits and steadily building wealth.
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